A much higher voter turnout than five years ago is expected at the European Parliament (EP) elections on June 7, Forsense forecasts. Fidesz and the Christian Democrats will obtain 15 of the 22 MEP seats available to Hungary, the Socialist Party six and Jobbik one, the pollster predicts.
The proportion of voters vowing to turn out for the EP elections was 74% in April, up from 50% in March. Some 37% of respondents knew the exact date of the ballot, while 53% said they will turn out: lower than the 59% forecast for a national election but higher than the 38.5% at the last EP elections in 2004.
Of the respondents, 25% support Fidesz and the Christian Democrats and 13% the Socialists, somewhat less of a disparity than the 30% to 11% difference based on general political preference. Jobbik has 2% support, the Free Democrats and the Democratic Forum 1% each. The poll was conducted among 1,006 adults between April 7 and 17.
Meanwhile Marketing Centrum envisages a 38% turnout and three parties crossing the 5% threshold at the EP elections. Fidesz is expected to win 15 seats, the Socialist Party six and Jobbik one, according to the pollster.
“The proportion of voters vowing to turn out for the EP elections was 74% in April, up from 50% in March. … 53% [of respondents] said they will turn out.”
Sorry – is that 74% or 53% then?