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May 18th, 2009

Poll forecasts landslide opposition victory in EP elections

By MTI

Hungary’s main opposition Fidesz and allied Christian Democratic Party (KDNP) could win a landslide victory at the forthcoming European Parliamentary elections, the Hungarian Gallup Institute told MTI on Friday.

According to a survey conducted earlier in May, Fidesz-KDNP enjoys a firm 66 percent support among decided voters, and the minority governing Socialist Party may garner 21-22 percent of the votes on June 7. The small liberal Free Democrats and conservative MDF parties have no chance to meet the 5 percent minimum required to get seats in the EP, Gallup said.

Among small parties, it is only the radical nationalist Jobbik which is likely to make it to the EP, the survey indicated. The report added, that it was mostly those people who indicated support for Jobbik that had not voted at the 2006 general election. Jobbik is also favoured by some disappointed Socialist voters, and, to a lesser extent, by disillusioned supporters of Fidesz.

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2 Comments

  1. Viking says:
    May 18, 2009 at 3:03 pm

    “people who indicated support for Jobbik that had not voted at the 2006 general election”.
    Should then be interpreted as young 1st-time voters and “disappointed Socialist voters”.
    Fits the description of a youthful party;
    - that has not had the chance to fuck up yet in scandals,
    - pushing that they are “different to other/established parties”,
    - ‘anti-elitism’ (most of the Jobbik leadership have a degree from a University) so they are clever in how they portrait themselves,
    - classic populism,
    - anti-immigration (works always good in time of economic turmoil).
    The question is then what has changed in the Hungarian society?
    Not so much, anti-feelings against non-Hungarians were rampant when I settled in Hungary 15 years ago. I think actually it has been better the last 10 years, but that is me, a typical Aryan.
    In the 1998 General Elections MIEP got 8% of the votes, 2002 3%. Jobbik has very much taken the base and organisation from MIEP and if we look at probably result for Jobbik 2010 for between 5-10%, it is actually not so much a difference from the 1998 MIEP-results. In 2006 the combined MIEP/Jobbik got 2%.
    The biggest change is probably that Jobbik, in difference from MIEP, is not open anti-Jewish.
    Wonder how Miss Sophie will interpret that fact – as another example of the rise of Zionism in Hungary?
    The MIEP party-leader normally refers to Jobbik as ‘Agents of Mossad’. I do not think that they will create “The 3rd Way” Election Alliance, as in 2006.

  2. Godot says:
    May 18, 2009 at 3:57 pm

    Viking says:
    “blah, blah, blah…”