January 27th, 2010

Lagest opposition party Fidesz retains huge lead in polls

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Hungary’s main opposition Fidesz has maintained its huge lead, with 33 percent of all respondents of a recent poll backing the conservative party as against 16 percent for the governing Socialists.

Pollster Szazadveg told MTI on Tuesday that Fidesz had the support of 59 percent decided voters, compared to 23 percent for the Socialists.

The radical nationalist Jobbik party was preferred by 10 percent of decided voters. On basis of the poll results, no other party would have the five percent of votes needed to get seats in parliament.

Thirty-four percent of the respondents said they wanted to see Fidesz leader Viktor Orban as Hungary’s next prime minister; 13 percent named Attila Mesterhazy, the Socialist candidate, while 12 percent would be happy with the small conservative Democratic Forum’s Lajos Bokros.

The survey was conducted between January 4-10 with a sample of 1,000 voting-age adults.

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4 Comments

  1. Viking says:
    January 28, 2010 at 1:17 am

    This is the interesting discrepancy:
    - Less than 5% would vote for MDF
    - 12% would like to see MDF’s Lajos Bokros as next PM
    Shows that there is a potential for MDF in the end to come in to the next Parliament and hopefully play some kind of bridging-over role between the different sides. Their profiling as an anti-Jobbik and no-BS down to earth in political sense type of party can pay dividends during this coming weeks.
    MDF would then steal voters from mostly Fidesz.
    This would then more be the typical swing-voters who definitely do not want to vote for MSZP what-ever, but really are nor Orbanistas and they probably have no good feelings with Jobbik.

  2. Mark says:
    January 28, 2010 at 8:40 am

    Based on pre-EP election polling and eventual results, Jobbik should have over 20% while MSZP less than 20% support.
    There is desperation for MDF to get into parliament because only immunity could save Herenyi and David from facing criminal charges. That is all there is to MDF/SZDSZ partnership.

  3. Vándorló says:
    January 28, 2010 at 8:56 am

    @Mark: There you go, in the latest TÁRKI poll Jobbik are slipping already: ‘… the support for MDF has somewhat strengthened, whilst that for Jobbik weakened.’(“az MDF támogatottsága kissé erősödött, a Jobbiké pedig valamelyest gyengült “) http://ow.ly/11g5H

  4. Viking says:
    January 28, 2010 at 10:30 am

    There is desperation for MDF to get into parliament because only immunity could save Herenyi and David from facing criminal charges. That is all there is to MDF/SZDSZ partnership.
    Mark at January 28, 2010 8:40 AM
    —
    And what charges will be levied against David Iboyla?
    Not wanting to dance after Orban/Fidesz pipe?
    Try to explain the difference that 12% want to see Bokross as next PM instead of your normal BS, repeated time after time.
    -
    Is not the same reason valid for the Jobbik leadership trying to avoid criminal charges for behaving like the normal ‘political class in Hungary’, not being responsible for anything, see:
    -
    http://www.politics.hu/20100127/hungary-political-parties-criticised-for-lack-of-financial-transparency
    -