Hey, no comment from our jobos ?

"As for decided voters, 62 percent of them favour Fidesz ... and 20 percent the Socialists.

Eleven percent would vote for Jobbik."

How did Victator manage that - wasn't it almost 17 % once ?

The % is jumping up and down a bit, but clearly Jobbik has taken the worse hit regarding 'after-election blues'
A bit that was expected from most people
Not by 'bob' though that blame this negative trend on Fidesz taking over the 'Jobbik issues' and 'stealing' sympathies from the earlier Jobbik-voters
According to 'bob' it is all in a plan to kill off Jobbik in the local elections in October
'bob' can be correct in his conclusions so far that Fidesz seem to have a better appeal to the more volatile April Jobbik voters and of course Fidesz is in the process to try to eliminate any opposition, regardless from where. It is totally normal, called politics
That Fidesz politics will change after the local elections is also something most people expect, fo no other reason not to do a 'Gyurcsany' with his Balaton speech in June 2006. Nothing must rock the Fidesz-boat before October 23rd
What surprises me with 'bob' analysis is that he seem to be surprised and it is something 'wrong', it is just normal politics

@ Viking

Wishing to maintain my Pollyanna, Alice in Wonderland on drugs, want to ask your opinion

Is it possible that there is a wind of change and just like Slovakia no longer wants the Slota type politics, previously angry Hungarians now want to be more moderate because they are sick of rhetoric, mud slinging and red herrings and want to concentrate on the real issues facing the country?

An hour program was devoted on CNN (may have been MSNBC) debating if the US is heading towards European Socialism.

It is no mystery that Fidesz is riding high on the hopes of former MSZ(M)P voters who hoped for government handouts and were disappointed when Gyurcsany told them the he lied to them and instead of more handouts, Gyurcsany put the squeeze to them. These people are no better or worse than anyone else in the world because most politicians get votes by promising people something for nothing. Fidesz should do well in the local elections but it is anybody’s guess how things will turn out in 2014.
The something for nothing voters could turn away from Fidesz just as easy as they turned to them. Very unstable supporters, Orban, and Lendvai justly worry that these voters could turn to Jobbik in 2014. The younger, educated and patriotic voters tend to favor Jobbik while the older, less educated voters tend to favor Fidesz or MSZ(M)P. Hard to say about LMP. It should become obvious by 2014 that LMP is just a younger version of anti-Hungarian SZDSZ that the voters soundly rejected.
Hungarians also will know by 2014 if Orban meant any of his pro-Hungarian statements or if they were just used to take patriotic voters away from Jobbik. Orban is showing his Communist side with his treatment of Magyar Nemzeti Grada and its members. He may be the darling of neo-liberals if he persists in persecuting these patriotic Hungarians but he will lose his standing as a national leader.
It would be foolish to place too much importance in these polls. Just recently, they had a program about the way these surveys are conducted. A major company gets the contract, takes off most of the profit and hires subcontractors to get the job done. The subcontractors are paid so little that they have no time to conduct actual surveys and fill out the questionnaires themselves.
The only prediction I would make that Fidesz will take it all, or almost all in the local elections but they will lose most of their something for nothing supporters by 2014. Jobbik will keep it core support and could radically increase it if Fidesz fails to protect Hungarians from foreign predators. The Communist MSZ(M)P will probably increase its support some but the real question is if Jobbik or MSZ(M)P will get more support in 2104. I would put my money of Jobbik because Jobbik learned a lot from the last campaign and they will be more careful to avoid embarrassing incidents. I would like to see them change their rules and kick out the few former MSZMP members who somehow got in.
In 2014, Fidesz may not even have a 50%+ majority not less 2/3 majority. Will Orban return to his Communist roots and join with MSZ(M)P against Jobbik to govern after 2014? If Orban does that, it could finish Fidesz off and give Jobbik a boost.