July 11th, 2012

Specter of international anti-Orbán “coup” rekindled on eve of bailout talks

Government-friendly daily Magyar Hírlap featured a Q&A on Monday with László Kövér, in which the Speaker of Hungarian Parliament lived up to his reputation as an energetic and entertaining interview subject. Amid zingers on recent hot-button topics like the recent Elie Wiesel kerfuffle (his advice: keep cool) and rumors that a leading party for ethnic Hungarians in Romania would set up shop here in Hungary (idiotic) was an interesting return to a theme from earlier this year: The allegations that certain players on the international scene had attempted a “coup” against the current Hungarian government.

Saying that the putsch attempt “had no real chances” of working, Kövér nevertheless indicated he thought there was in fact a plot, pointing out that an advisor to the US government had suggested that if Orbán could not be forced out by democratic means, some other means would need to be found.

There are two interesting things about Kövér’s coup-talk.

One is that quickly after it was widely reported that Orbán said he was the target of a plot, then-Fidesz parliamentary caucus head (and now Orbán chief-of-staff) János Lázár went on record to deny Orbán had ever said it, either because he didn’t say it, or because he said it and Lázár and others realized how paranoid it sounded.

The second interesting thing is that Kövér reopened the whole coup business just as the government is about to finally start its long-delayed bailout talks with the IMF, EU and European Central Bank, which are likely to involve some hard bargaining by the “Troika” on some issues that the government is now insisting it will not budge on. Take, for example, what Orbán said yesterday about the just-passed tax on financial transactions:

Hungary is governed by Hungarians, and if the Hungarian parliament has decided on introducing a tax on financial transactions, has determined who this will apply to, then that’s the way it will be. No one can veto the Hungarian parliament’s decision.

So while the fearless Kövér may be the only top member of Fidesz to openly use the “C word” for the time being, I suspect that over the coming months we’ll be hearing as much talk about coups d’état here in Hungary as in the average Latin American banana republic back in the 1980s. Unfortunately, the economic situation is likely to feel like it, too.

Erik D'Amato (@erikdamato) is publisher and editor-in-chief of the All Hungary Media Group.
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  • Vidra

    I’m sure the troika is using another C-word to describe Orbán. However, the “well-known fact” of a conspiracy to get Orbán out of power will, I’m sure, be used to justify all kinds of anti-democratic and anti-EU actions in the months ahead.

  • Mickey Horthy

    But there was a Coup. I have seen it with my own eyes. And you know me, I recognize a good Coup when I see one.

  • Paul

    Naaaw….No coup. Completely ignoring VO will do the job.

  • Observation

    Go easy guys. Even paranoid schizophrenics need love.

  • Ma Jar

    Ah perhaps a chicken coop, being small and comfy (but smelly) may be better than a big Hungarian government “coup” though a couple may prefer to get away from it all in a coupe. Or one swift coup de grace may end it all with a coup d’etat. Coo-ordination and coo-operation is cool when coupled by the coo coo cooing of a mourning dove.

  • spectator

    Show some mercy, guys/gals, will you?

    Please, try to understand that these poor morons constantly need some enemy to identify themselves against, otherwise their sheer existence become meaningless – they should do some serious governing you see, working, to put it mild.

    Of course, there are coup’s, attack’s and continuous freedom-fight all the time – keeping up appearances ;-)

  • freedom

    I don’t know about a coup, but one has to be wary of outside forces trying to tell the people in Hungary what they need and want when I am sure Hungarians are smart enough to make decisions for themselves.

    The enemies of Orban aren’t sitting in giant ballroom plotting daily. Actually, all they have to do is reach into their bank accounts and make a few phone calls to sponsors NGO (that agree with their own values) and the slow vehicle of change begins at their dime and on their terms.

    90% of political change is caused by fat old men sitting in Brussels (or some other political and economic hub) and reaching into the wallets to pay for an opposition. Just ask the LMP who received both funding from U.S ambassador and an American millionaire who fled back to his hole in DC after he was outed.

  • Viking

    Orbán said yesterday about the just-passed tax on financial transactions:
    “No one can veto the Hungarian parliament’s decision”

    Try google EU law supersedes national law….

    (the first re-captcha word is “ignorant” – even they know it…)

  • spectator

    “Hungarians are smart enough to make decisions for themselves”

    - Obviously.
    And the result is what you experience every day.

    I’m fully aware of the fact that there are masochists in existence, but seeing millions of them stuffed into a single country – this is something special.
    Really.

    • Ma Jar

      The millions of masochists are stuffed into a single continent – Europe – and that is something special.

  • Leto. مؤدّب

    Here is a quite instructive resignation letter from a seniour manager of IMF. It says a lot about IMF.

    European Department
    Washington DC
    June 18,2012

    To Mr. Shaalan, Dean of the IMF Executive Board

    Today, I addressed the Executive Board for the last time—because I am leaving the Fund.

    Accordingly, I wanted first to formally express my deep appreciation to the Swedish, Israeli, and Danish authorities with whom I have worked recently, as well as all others with whom I have worked earlier, for their extraordinary generosity towards me personally.

    But I also wanted to take this opportunity to explain my departure.

    After twenty years of service, I am ashamed to have had any association with the Fund at all.

    This is not solely because of the incompetence that was partly chronicled by the OIA report into the global crisis and the TSR report on surveillance ahead of the Euro Area crisis. Moreso, it is because the substantive difficulties in these crises, as with others, were identified well in advance but were suppressed here. Given long gestation periods and protracted international decision-making processes to head off both these global challenges, timely sustained warnings were of the essence. So the failure of the Fund to issue them is a failing of the first order, even if such warnings may not have been heeded. The consequences include suffering (and risk of worse to come) for many including Greece, that the second global reserve currency is on the brink, and that the Fund for the past two years has been playing catch-up and reactive roles in the last-ditch efforts to save it.

    Further, the proximate factors which produced these failings of IMF surveillance—analytical risk aversion, bilateral priority, and European bias—are, if anything, becoming more deeply entrenched, notwithstanding initiatives which purport to address them. This fact is most clear in regard to appointments for Managing Director which, over the past decade, have all-too-evidently been disastrous. Even the current incumbent is tainted, as neither her gender, integrity, or elan can make up for the fundamental illegitimacy of the selection process. In a hierarchical place like this, the implications of those choices filter directly to others in senior management, and via the appointments, fixed term contracts, and succession planning of senior staff, they go on to infuse the organization as a whole, overwhelming everything else. A handicapped Fund, subject to those proximate roots of surveillance failure, is what the Executive Board prefers. Would that I had understood twenty years ago that this would be the choice.

    There are good salty people here. But this one is moving on. You might want to take care not to lose the others.

    Yours Sincerely,

    Peter Doyle

    cc.
    Ms. Nemat Shafik
    Mr. Stanley Fischer
    Mr. Stephan Ingves
    Mr. Benny Andersen
    Mr. Alex Gibbs
    Mr. Eric Meyer
    Mr. Amit Friedman
    Mr. Martin Holmberg
    Mr. Reza Moghadam
    Mr. Mark Plant
    Mr. Brad McDonald

    • Viking

      And Hungary is a proud member of the IMF
      Is ‘leto’ proposing that His Supreme Leader should leave the IMF?

      Maybe this guy (Peter Doyle) is totally correct, maybe he missed out on a carrier opportunity?
      Who cares?

      What is important in Hungary is that the Hungarian economy goes worse and worse, while The Supreme Leader is going ‘Turkey’, just to keep His glass marbles

  • wolfi

    I hope leto showed this letter to the Fidesz people – so they will immediately break off any consultation with the devil incarnate aka IMF …

    Much better to get money from the well meaning Chinese or maybe from the Saudis – but no, those are the dreaded Muslims intent on taking over Christian Hungary and building mosques and minarets everywhere …

    Maybe the Chinese solution is better – they are just postcommies and leto knows how to handle those …

    • Leto. مؤدّب

      @unwelcome foreign alcoholic moron:

      I know you didn’t hear about this but risks can be decreased by “diversification” only.

      -http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diversification_%28finance%29

      So the best thing is a mix of Chinese, the Muslims, the Russians, the Brazilians and IMF…

      …plus Uncle Scrooge, of course
      -http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NBRrCY5uhWY)

      • Viking

        The thing is that IMF can be swayed with political arguments. Try that with the Russians and Chinese they will gladly extend your credit, if you just give them your arm

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